Softline74.5
Jaxon Smith-Njigba • Receiving Yards
NE vs SEA • Wed, Sep 9 • 8:20 PM ET
Pinned by @chickendinner · Sep 6, 4:49 PM
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Distributions, blindspots, defensive matchups, squads, volume, and forecast splices — one compact look at a time.
VISUAL DISTRIBUTIONS
Historical Distribution vs. Vegas Line
Study variance and consistency. See every recent game plotted against the active prop line instead of staring at flat season averages.
Game Log Distribution
Sam Darnold — Passing Yards
10-game regular season sample • 2025
Avg
217.9
yds / game
Hit Rate
50%
over 229.5 yds
Over 229.5Under 229.5Line
11/2311/3012/0712/1412/1812/2801/0301/1701/2502/08
Oldest → Most recent
AUTOMATED SIGNALS
Market Blindspot & Injury Surges
Catch unpriced opportunities when key starters sit or when weather conditions force dramatic shifts in offensive game scripts.
Workhorse Volume Surge: RB2 [OUT] — Primary change-of-pace back sidelined; lead back projects to consolidate 85%+ touches and red zone snaps.
Weather Divergence: High Wind (18 mph) — Deep pass air-yards depressed by 35%; short-target slot volume and checkdowns surge against 34.5 receiving line.
DEFENSE VS POSITION
Opponent Defensive Matchup
See how the opponent ranks against the position — yards allowed, scheme tendencies, and red-zone concessions the market often misses.
Opponent Defensive Matchup
VS NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS
RANK #3
Tough Matchup
Allows 45.1 receiving yards per game to opposing TEs — 3rd fewest in the NFL.
- Red Zone Concessions: Allows 1.3 TDs per game inside the 20.
- TE Target Funnel: Surrenders 8.8 targets/gm to opposing TEs.
MULTIPLAYER BETTING1 pin
Squad Pinning & Shared Research
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Squad board
Sunday Parlay Boys
VOLUME & USAGE10 games · splits active
Vegas Prices Yardage; You Buy Volume
Track underlying opportunity signals before lines shift: snap counts, route participation, and carry share trend deltas.
Utilization & Opportunity
trend: last 3 vs L10Snap Share
95%▲ +2% vs L10
Completion %Elite
67%▬ flat vs L10
Pass Attempt Share
86%▲ +3% vs L10
Rush Attempt Share
11%▲ +2% vs L10
SITUATIONAL SPLICES
Instant Stadium Forecast Alignment
One click snaps historical game logs to the upcoming game's exact conditions: turf vs. grass, freezing temperatures, or high wind.
Splice Filters
Active: Home • Turf • All
Sync Live ForecastFilters
Loc
AllHomeAway
Surf
AllTurfGrass
Wthr
ClearWindyPrecipCold
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